As the research and analysis division of the Economist Group, The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) helps leaders prepare for opportunity, empowering them to act with confidence when making strategic decisions. The EIU is the global standard in providing quality, actionable intelligence to the public and private sector, assessing issues that impact the marketplace for over two hundred countries.

We are recruiting a Deputy Economist to assist in running econometric models on China and its provinces and cities for the purpose of producing forecasts within a given product brief and generating bespoke forecasts for clients as required. The candidate is responsible to write up summary economic forecasts for provinces and to build ongoing relationships with data suppliers to ensure the quality of the underlying data. The role will also work under the Deputy Director in Beijing to build a set of coherent and consistent forecasts across China and contribute directly to the China Regional Forecasting Service.

In the role you would be expected to:

Forecasting

Run the models on a regular basis to meet publishing deadlines. Assess, monitor and adjust the output from the models and check the plausibility and defensibility of the forecasts, as well as consistency with the written analysis. Recommend changes to the forecasting methodology to ensure the accuracy, reliability and consistency of the economic forecasts.

Writing

Write up and update summary economic forecasts for each of the provinces. The forecast should be internally consistent and coherent making full use of all available information and taking into consideration the regional consensus view. Respond to all queries raised during the checking process.

Econometric modeling

Support the technical framework and ensure that the output integrates with other editorial systems. Assist in developing single-equation models to produce custom forecasts for clients.

Economic data

Protect and enhance the quality of the economic data used within the models. Run regular checks on the data to maintain accuracy, reliability and consistency.

Data suppliers

Work closely with data suppliers to make sure the economic data are updated accurately and in a timely fashion. Monitor changes in external data sources and work closely with suppliers to enhance the quality of EIU data.

Team work

Work closely with the China editorial teams in Asia, US and in Europe to help them interpret and write up the forecasts. The forecasts will be cross-checked by editors within these teams and any issues raised during the sense check must be responded to.

Actively join in discussions on the implications of the EIU global assumptions and events impacting on the region. Participate in the development of consensus views for the region. Co-operate with colleagues covering China to ensure consistency between reports.

Client relationships

Assist in present the forecast results in non-technical language to clients and respond to client queries in relation to published data and bespoke forecasts undertaken for clients.